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Scenario Analyzer

Investing skill, available on Zeplik

Scenario Analyzer is a ready-to-run investing skill on Zeplik. Build probability-weighted 12-18 month base, bull, and bear paths from a headline or macro event, with drivers and confirm/invalidate markers. Ask in plain language and Zeplik applies the skill's method for you inside the conversation, on whichever AI model you prefer.

The Scenario Analyzer skill loads automatically when your request matches it, or you can invoke it directly by typing /scenario-analyzer in any chat. It works with attachments, connectors, and any model that supports the task, so you get the same expert method every time without setting anything up.

What the Scenario Analyzer skill can do

Try these prompts on Zeplik

Pick a prompt to open it in the Zeplik app. If you are not signed in yet, your prompt is waiting for you the moment you do.

How the Scenario Analyzer skill works

Scenario Analyzer

Framing: Scenario analysis maps how a headline or event could plausibly unfold over the next 12-18 months. It is a structured range of futures with tripwires, not a prediction of which one happens, and not advice.

Quick start

Anchor on the specific headline, policy shift, or macro event the user names. If it is time-sensitive or you are unsure of the current facts, use the web tool to confirm what actually happened before reasoning forward. Do not invent facts to fit a scenario.

Build the scenarios

Produce three to four scenarios over a 12-18 month horizon, typically base / bull / bear (add a tail scenario if a low-probability, high-impact path is real). For each:

  1. The path -- the sequence of developments that gets from today to this outcome.
  2. Key drivers -- the two or three variables that decide whether this path plays out (policy, rates, earnings, liquidity, geopolitics -- whatever is actually load-bearing here).
  3. Market implications -- which assets, sectors, or factors this path would favor or pressure, at a directional level.
  4. Confirm / invalidate signals -- the concrete, observable events that would raise this scenario's odds, and the ones that would kill it.

Weight the scenarios qualitatively (more likely / less likely) and say plainly which drivers carry the most uncertainty.

Optional second opinion

For a high-stakes question, do a quick self-critique pass: which scenario is the consensus crowding into, what is the strongest counter-argument to your base case, and what would you have to see to flip your ranking. Surface that, do not hide it.

Guardrails

  • Range, not a call. Present the spread of outcomes and their tripwires; do not collapse to a single confident forecast.
  • Facts first. Verify the triggering event before reasoning from it; flag anything you could not confirm.
  • Not advice. Directional implications for context, not a recommendation to trade any of them.

How to use the Scenario Analyzer skill

  1. Sign in to Zeplik

    Create a free Zeplik account or sign in. New accounts start with free credits, so you can try the Scenario Analyzer skill right away.

  2. Describe your investing task

    Ask in plain language, or type /scenario-analyzer to invoke the skill directly. Zeplik recognizes the Scenario Analyzer skill and applies its method.

  3. Review and refine the result

    Zeplik returns a clear, structured answer. Ask follow-ups in the same chat to refine it or take the next step.

Source and credit

Author
TraderMonty
License
MIT

Adapted from the open-source tradermonty/claude-trading-skills project and tuned to run natively on Zeplik. View source on GitHub.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Scenario Analyzer skill?
Scenario Analyzer is a ready-to-run investing skill on Zeplik. Build probability-weighted 12-18 month base, bull, and bear paths from a headline or macro event, with drivers and confirm/invalidate markers. Ask in plain language and Zeplik applies the skill's method for you inside the conversation, on whichever AI model you prefer.
How do I use Scenario Analyzer on Zeplik?
Sign in to Zeplik and ask in plain language, or type /scenario-analyzer in any chat to invoke it directly. The skill applies its method and returns a result you can refine in the same conversation.
Which AI model does the Scenario Analyzer skill use?
Any model you choose. Zeplik works across every model in one chat, so the Scenario Analyzer skill runs on your preferred model for the task.
Where does the Scenario Analyzer skill come from?
The Scenario Analyzer skill is adapted from the open-source tradermonty/claude-trading-skills project (MIT) and tuned to run natively on Zeplik. The original source is linked on this page.
How much does the Scenario Analyzer skill cost?
Using the skill is free to start. You only spend Zeplik credits when the assistant runs, and new accounts begin with free credits.

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Scenario Analyzer - Investing skill for Zeplik AI | Zeplik Chat